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icon for Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

icon for Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Up

17% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE

Up

17% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population has declined for multiple consecutive quarters through mid-2026, driven by the federal government’s 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. This policy aims to reduce the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by the end of 2027, producing net outflows that offset natural increase and permanent inflows. Statistics Canada data through April 2026 confirm quarterly contractions of 0.1–0.2%, with temporary resident numbers falling sharply after peaking in 2024. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate flat or slightly negative growth for the full year, consistent with ongoing caps on study and work permits and tighter financial requirements implemented in 2026. Trader pricing aligns with these confirmed trends and the absence of offsetting policy reversals.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,198
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population has declined for multiple consecutive quarters through mid-2026, driven by the federal government’s 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. This policy aims to reduce the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by the end of 2027, producing net outflows that offset natural increase and permanent inflows. Statistics Canada data through April 2026 confirm quarterly contractions of 0.1–0.2%, with temporary resident numbers falling sharply after peaking in 2024. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate flat or slightly negative growth for the full year, consistent with ongoing caps on study and work permits and tighter financial requirements implemented in 2026. Trader pricing aligns with these confirmed trends and the absence of offsetting policy reversals.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,198
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" to dzienny rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, czy cena Canada's population Up or Down this year? zakończy wyżej ("W górę") czy niżej ("W dół") od ceny otwarcia w oknie dzienny. Obecne prawdopodobieństwo to 88% na "Down". Ceny aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" to aktywny krótkoterminowy rynek na Polymarket. Wolumen może narastać szybko w miarę trwania okna dzienny — wskocz wcześnie, aby pomóc ustalić kursy.

Aby handlować na "Canada's population Up or Down this year?", zdecyduj, czy cena Canada's population Up or Down this year? o 12:00 ET w dniu April 29 będzie wyższa ("W górę") czy niższa ("W dół") od ceny o 12:00 ET w dniu January 27.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Canada's population Up or Down this year?" to 88% na "Down", co oznacza, że tłum Polymarket przypisuje 88% szansy, że cena Canada's population Up or Down this year? zakończy down. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym. W ciągu pełnego dnia kursy odzwierciedlają ewoluujące nastroje.

Rynek "Canada's population Up or Down this year?" rozstrzyga się na podstawie porównania ceny Canada's population Up or Down this year? o 12:00 ET w dniu April 29 z ceną o 12:00 ET w dniu January 27, używając cen zamknięcia 1-minutowych świec Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT.