Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing as the clear favorite against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with all other listed names registering negligible support. Recent polling shows a polarized contest between the two, with first-round estimates fluctuating between technical ties and single-digit leads for Ciro in surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September. The latest Real Time Big Data release found the pair statistically tied near 45% each, while earlier August readings gave Ciro wider margins. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Delegado Huggo remain in low single digits, underscoring the binary dynamic. The October 2 first-round vote and potential runoff timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of formal campaign escalation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,098 Wol.
$216,098 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,098 Wol.
$216,098 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$102,096 Wol.
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$43,123 Wol.
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Wol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Wol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Wol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Wol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing as the clear favorite against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with all other listed names registering negligible support. Recent polling shows a polarized contest between the two, with first-round estimates fluctuating between technical ties and single-digit leads for Ciro in surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September. The latest Real Time Big Data release found the pair statistically tied near 45% each, while earlier August readings gave Ciro wider margins. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Delegado Huggo remain in low single digits, underscoring the binary dynamic. The October 2 first-round vote and potential runoff timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of formal campaign escalation.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$216,098Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing as the clear favorite against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with all other listed names registering negligible support. Recent polling shows a polarized contest between the two, with first-round estimates fluctuating between technical ties and single-digit leads for Ciro in surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September. The latest Real Time Big Data release found the pair statistically tied near 45% each, while earlier August readings gave Ciro wider margins. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Delegado Huggo remain in low single digits, underscoring the binary dynamic. The October 2 first-round vote and potential runoff timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of formal campaign escalation.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$216,098Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing as the clear favorite against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with all other listed names registering negligible support. Recent polling shows a polarized contest between the two, with first-round estimates fluctuating between technical ties and single-digit leads for Ciro in surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September. The latest Real Time Big Data release found the pair statistically tied near 45% each, while earlier August readings gave Ciro wider margins. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Delegado Huggo remain in low single digits, underscoring the binary dynamic. The October 2 first-round vote and potential runoff timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of formal campaign escalation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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