The fragmented Democratic field for the 2028 presidential nomination leaves the vice-presidential slot highly uncertain, with no contender above single-digit implied probability in trader pricing. Early positioning reflects emphasis on geographic balance, Senate or gubernatorial experience, and appeal to swing-state or progressive voters, as seen in sustained low-level trading on figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gretchen Whitmer, James Talarico, and Elissa Slotkin. Recent polling and public appearances by potential presidential contenders have kept multiple names in circulation without consolidation, while historical patterns show running-mate selections often prioritize ticket unity and electoral math once a nominee emerges. Midterm outcomes and primary developments through 2028 remain key variables that could narrow options.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Gretchen Whitmer 7.1%
James Talarico 6.6%
Elissa Slotkin 6.1%
$95,297 Wol.
$95,297 Wol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
LeBron James
4%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Wes Moore
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Ro Khanna
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
John Fetterman
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
George Clooney
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Gretchen Whitmer 7.1%
James Talarico 6.6%
Elissa Slotkin 6.1%
$95,297 Wol.
$95,297 Wol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
LeBron James
4%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Wes Moore
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Ro Khanna
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Roy Cooper
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
John Fetterman
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
George Clooney
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented Democratic field for the 2028 presidential nomination leaves the vice-presidential slot highly uncertain, with no contender above single-digit implied probability in trader pricing. Early positioning reflects emphasis on geographic balance, Senate or gubernatorial experience, and appeal to swing-state or progressive voters, as seen in sustained low-level trading on figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gretchen Whitmer, James Talarico, and Elissa Slotkin. Recent polling and public appearances by potential presidential contenders have kept multiple names in circulation without consolidation, while historical patterns show running-mate selections often prioritize ticket unity and electoral math once a nominee emerges. Midterm outcomes and primary developments through 2028 remain key variables that could narrow options.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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