**Federal and state investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following August 2026 FBI searches that seized his electronic devices in connection with sexual misconduct allegations.** Authorities are examining potential violations under civil rights statutes, with parallel inquiries underway in Manhattan and Los Angeles. No charges have been filed as of mid-September, and the short window to September 30 leaves limited time for prosecutors to complete device analysis, coordinate across jurisdictions, and reach a charging decision. Traders reflect this timeline reality in the 92.8% implied probability for “No,” consistent with typical pacing of complex probes involving multiple accusers and forensic review.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano10% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
10% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Federal and state investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following August 2026 FBI searches that seized his electronic devices in connection with sexual misconduct allegations.** Authorities are examining potential violations under civil rights statutes, with parallel inquiries underway in Manhattan and Los Angeles. No charges have been filed as of mid-September, and the short window to September 30 leaves limited time for prosecutors to complete device analysis, coordinate across jurisdictions, and reach a charging decision. Traders reflect this timeline reality in the 92.8% implied probability for “No,” consistent with typical pacing of complex probes involving multiple accusers and forensic review.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$321Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Federal and state investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following August 2026 FBI searches that seized his electronic devices in connection with sexual misconduct allegations.** Authorities are examining potential violations under civil rights statutes, with parallel inquiries underway in Manhattan and Los Angeles. No charges have been filed as of mid-September, and the short window to September 30 leaves limited time for prosecutors to complete device analysis, coordinate across jurisdictions, and reach a charging decision. Traders reflect this timeline reality in the 92.8% implied probability for “No,” consistent with typical pacing of complex probes involving multiple accusers and forensic review.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$321Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Federal and state investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following August 2026 FBI searches that seized his electronic devices in connection with sexual misconduct allegations.** Authorities are examining potential violations under civil rights statutes, with parallel inquiries underway in Manhattan and Los Angeles. No charges have been filed as of mid-September, and the short window to September 30 leaves limited time for prosecutors to complete device analysis, coordinate across jurisdictions, and reach a charging decision. Traders reflect this timeline reality in the 92.8% implied probability for “No,” consistent with typical pacing of complex probes involving multiple accusers and forensic review.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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