Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victory in May with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s campaign has raised over $1.1 million through June, far outpacing Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath’s roughly $107,000, while independent and third-party candidates further fragment opposition support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though shifts could still arise from unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, late national developments affecting rural voters, or any unforeseen campaign events in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
$34,499 Wol.
$34,499 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
6%
$34,499 Wol.
$34,499 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
$14,241 Wol.
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
$20,258 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victory in May with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s campaign has raised over $1.1 million through June, far outpacing Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath’s roughly $107,000, while independent and third-party candidates further fragment opposition support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though shifts could still arise from unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, late national developments affecting rural voters, or any unforeseen campaign events in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,499Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victory in May with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s campaign has raised over $1.1 million through June, far outpacing Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath’s roughly $107,000, while independent and third-party candidates further fragment opposition support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though shifts could still arise from unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, late national developments affecting rural voters, or any unforeseen campaign events in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$34,499Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victory in May with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s campaign has raised over $1.1 million through June, far outpacing Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath’s roughly $107,000, while independent and third-party candidates further fragment opposition support. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though shifts could still arise from unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, late national developments affecting rural voters, or any unforeseen campaign events in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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