Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
97%
Michael Noack (R)
1%
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
$14,437 Wol.
97%
Michael Noack (R)
$19,249 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,686Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,686Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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