Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the seat's deep Republican lean, his long incumbency since 2009, and decisive primary victory with 85 percent of the vote in May 2026. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Megan Wingfield, who won her May primary with 41 percent, faces severe fundraising disadvantages and no evident polling momentum. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$13,968 Wol.
$13,968 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
5%
$13,968 Wol.
$13,968 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
$6,297 Wol.
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
$7,671 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the seat's deep Republican lean, his long incumbency since 2009, and decisive primary victory with 85 percent of the vote in May 2026. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Megan Wingfield, who won her May primary with 41 percent, faces severe fundraising disadvantages and no evident polling momentum. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,968Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the seat's deep Republican lean, his long incumbency since 2009, and decisive primary victory with 85 percent of the vote in May 2026. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Megan Wingfield, who won her May primary with 41 percent, faces severe fundraising disadvantages and no evident polling momentum. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$13,968Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the seat's deep Republican lean, his long incumbency since 2009, and decisive primary victory with 85 percent of the vote in May 2026. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Megan Wingfield, who won her May primary with 41 percent, faces severe fundraising disadvantages and no evident polling momentum. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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