**Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the prior congressional map for the November 3, 2026 general election, significantly boosting Democratic prospects in MO-05.** The court blocked the 2025 Republican-drawn redistricting that had shifted the Kansas City-based district toward Republican-leaning rural areas, allowing voters to consider a referendum and ordering use of the 2022 boundaries that previously delivered double-digit Democratic margins for incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. With the election now proceeding under the more favorable lines, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 63% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural shift and limited polling available since the ruling. The general election remains weeks away, leaving room for campaign developments or turnout patterns to influence the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$27,509 Wol.
$27,509 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
34%
$27,509 Wol.
$27,509 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,924 Wol.
64%
Republican Party
$16,585 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the prior congressional map for the November 3, 2026 general election, significantly boosting Democratic prospects in MO-05.**
The court blocked the 2025 Republican-drawn redistricting that had shifted the Kansas City-based district toward Republican-leaning rural areas, allowing voters to consider a referendum and ordering use of the 2022 boundaries that previously delivered double-digit Democratic margins for incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. With the election now proceeding under the more favorable lines, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 63% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural shift and limited polling available since the ruling. The general election remains weeks away, leaving room for campaign developments or turnout patterns to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,509Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the prior congressional map for the November 3, 2026 general election, significantly boosting Democratic prospects in MO-05.**
The court blocked the 2025 Republican-drawn redistricting that had shifted the Kansas City-based district toward Republican-leaning rural areas, allowing voters to consider a referendum and ordering use of the 2022 boundaries that previously delivered double-digit Democratic margins for incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. With the election now proceeding under the more favorable lines, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 63% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural shift and limited polling available since the ruling. The general election remains weeks away, leaving room for campaign developments or turnout patterns to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$27,509Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the prior congressional map for the November 3, 2026 general election, significantly boosting Democratic prospects in MO-05.** The court blocked the 2025 Republican-drawn redistricting that had shifted the Kansas City-based district toward Republican-leaning rural areas, allowing voters to consider a referendum and ordering use of the 2022 boundaries that previously delivered double-digit Democratic margins for incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. With the election now proceeding under the more favorable lines, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 63% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural shift and limited polling available since the ruling. The general election remains weeks away, leaving room for campaign developments or turnout patterns to influence the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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