**Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination for Montana’s open 1st congressional district seat after winning the June 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag narrowly captured the Democratic nomination.** The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in prior election results and partisan voting indices, which has shaped trader pricing at 61.5% for the Republican Party versus 38.5% for the Democratic Party. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of supporting GOP candidates in recent cycles. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public polling and the absence of major new developments since the primaries have left fundamentals—district composition, nominee profiles, and national midterm dynamics—as the primary drivers of current market consensus. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$10,886 Wol.
$10,886 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
62%
Democratic Party
39%
$10,886 Wol.
$10,886 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,168 Wol.
62%
Democratic Party
$4,718 Wol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination for Montana’s open 1st congressional district seat after winning the June 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag narrowly captured the Democratic nomination.** The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in prior election results and partisan voting indices, which has shaped trader pricing at 61.5% for the Republican Party versus 38.5% for the Democratic Party.
Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of supporting GOP candidates in recent cycles. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public polling and the absence of major new developments since the primaries have left fundamentals—district composition, nominee profiles, and national midterm dynamics—as the primary drivers of current market consensus. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,886Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination for Montana’s open 1st congressional district seat after winning the June 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag narrowly captured the Democratic nomination.** The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in prior election results and partisan voting indices, which has shaped trader pricing at 61.5% for the Republican Party versus 38.5% for the Democratic Party.
Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of supporting GOP candidates in recent cycles. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public polling and the absence of major new developments since the primaries have left fundamentals—district composition, nominee profiles, and national midterm dynamics—as the primary drivers of current market consensus. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$10,886Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination for Montana’s open 1st congressional district seat after winning the June 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement, while Sam Forstag narrowly captured the Democratic nomination.** The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in prior election results and partisan voting indices, which has shaped trader pricing at 61.5% for the Republican Party versus 38.5% for the Democratic Party. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of supporting GOP candidates in recent cycles. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public polling and the absence of major new developments since the primaries have left fundamentals—district composition, nominee profiles, and national midterm dynamics—as the primary drivers of current market consensus. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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