Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2018, and a decisive June 2026 primary victory with 63 percent of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the Rochester-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election margins, and limited Republican infrastructure. Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator who advanced unopposed, faces substantial fundraising and name-recognition gaps. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing the outcome as highly likely absent major late-cycle disruptions such as national economic shocks, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments in the final weeks before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$33,113 Wol.
$33,113 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Wol.
$33,113 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Wol.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2018, and a decisive June 2026 primary victory with 63 percent of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the Rochester-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election margins, and limited Republican infrastructure. Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator who advanced unopposed, faces substantial fundraising and name-recognition gaps. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing the outcome as highly likely absent major late-cycle disruptions such as national economic shocks, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,113Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2018, and a decisive June 2026 primary victory with 63 percent of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the Rochester-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election margins, and limited Republican infrastructure. Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator who advanced unopposed, faces substantial fundraising and name-recognition gaps. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing the outcome as highly likely absent major late-cycle disruptions such as national economic shocks, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,113Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2018, and a decisive June 2026 primary victory with 63 percent of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the Rochester-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election margins, and limited Republican infrastructure. Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator who advanced unopposed, faces substantial fundraising and name-recognition gaps. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing the outcome as highly likely absent major late-cycle disruptions such as national economic shocks, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments in the final weeks before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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