OPEC continues to function through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among its remaining 11 members, including Saudi Arabia as the dominant swing producer, even after the UAE's unilateral exit in May 2026 over quota disputes and the Iran conflict's impact on Gulf exports. Iraq has floated potential withdrawal over similar quota concerns, yet core OPEC+ participants have proceeded with phased output increases through September 2026 and capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Trader consensus on no dissolution reflects the organization's history of adapting to prior exits without collapse, sustained coordination on supply management amid geopolitical disruptions, and absence of any coordinated breakup announcements. Full dissolution by year-end would require unprecedented mass defections or a formal vote to disband, scenarios viewed as remote given institutional inertia and Saudi Arabia's ongoing influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
3% szansa
$34,792 Wol.
$34,792 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% szansa
$34,792 Wol.
$34,792 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to function through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among its remaining 11 members, including Saudi Arabia as the dominant swing producer, even after the UAE's unilateral exit in May 2026 over quota disputes and the Iran conflict's impact on Gulf exports. Iraq has floated potential withdrawal over similar quota concerns, yet core OPEC+ participants have proceeded with phased output increases through September 2026 and capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Trader consensus on no dissolution reflects the organization's history of adapting to prior exits without collapse, sustained coordination on supply management amid geopolitical disruptions, and absence of any coordinated breakup announcements. Full dissolution by year-end would require unprecedented mass defections or a formal vote to disband, scenarios viewed as remote given institutional inertia and Saudi Arabia's ongoing influence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,792Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to function through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among its remaining 11 members, including Saudi Arabia as the dominant swing producer, even after the UAE's unilateral exit in May 2026 over quota disputes and the Iran conflict's impact on Gulf exports. Iraq has floated potential withdrawal over similar quota concerns, yet core OPEC+ participants have proceeded with phased output increases through September 2026 and capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Trader consensus on no dissolution reflects the organization's history of adapting to prior exits without collapse, sustained coordination on supply management amid geopolitical disruptions, and absence of any coordinated breakup announcements. Full dissolution by year-end would require unprecedented mass defections or a formal vote to disband, scenarios viewed as remote given institutional inertia and Saudi Arabia's ongoing influence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$34,792Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to function through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments among its remaining 11 members, including Saudi Arabia as the dominant swing producer, even after the UAE's unilateral exit in May 2026 over quota disputes and the Iran conflict's impact on Gulf exports. Iraq has floated potential withdrawal over similar quota concerns, yet core OPEC+ participants have proceeded with phased output increases through September 2026 and capacity reviews for 2027 baselines. Trader consensus on no dissolution reflects the organization's history of adapting to prior exits without collapse, sustained coordination on supply management amid geopolitical disruptions, and absence of any coordinated breakup announcements. Full dissolution by year-end would require unprecedented mass defections or a formal vote to disband, scenarios viewed as remote given institutional inertia and Saudi Arabia's ongoing influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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