Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, where the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus. Smucker won reelection in 2024 with nearly 63 percent of the vote, and both major-party primaries on May 19, 2026, were uncontested, leaving him to face Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the district solid or safe Republican. The district’s partisan composition, voting patterns across Lancaster and southern York counties, and Smucker’s fundraising and incumbency advantages have shown no material change in recent months. A realistic shift would require a major personal or national development that alters the district’s underlying tilt before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
$25,718 Wol.
$25,718 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
98%
Democratic Party
2%
$25,718 Wol.
$25,718 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$15,668 Wol.
98%
Democratic Party
$10,050 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, where the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus. Smucker won reelection in 2024 with nearly 63 percent of the vote, and both major-party primaries on May 19, 2026, were uncontested, leaving him to face Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the district solid or safe Republican. The district’s partisan composition, voting patterns across Lancaster and southern York counties, and Smucker’s fundraising and incumbency advantages have shown no material change in recent months. A realistic shift would require a major personal or national development that alters the district’s underlying tilt before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,718Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, where the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus. Smucker won reelection in 2024 with nearly 63 percent of the vote, and both major-party primaries on May 19, 2026, were uncontested, leaving him to face Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the district solid or safe Republican. The district’s partisan composition, voting patterns across Lancaster and southern York counties, and Smucker’s fundraising and incumbency advantages have shown no material change in recent months. A realistic shift would require a major personal or national development that alters the district’s underlying tilt before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,718Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, where the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus. Smucker won reelection in 2024 with nearly 63 percent of the vote, and both major-party primaries on May 19, 2026, were uncontested, leaving him to face Democrat Nancy Mannion in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the district solid or safe Republican. The district’s partisan composition, voting patterns across Lancaster and southern York counties, and Smucker’s fundraising and incumbency advantages have shown no material change in recent months. A realistic shift would require a major personal or national development that alters the district’s underlying tilt before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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