Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a narrow statewide lead or statistical tie with Ken Paxton has reinforced expectations that Democratic gains in suburban areas will extend to Collin County. Talarico’s fundraising edge, cross-aisle endorsements from some Republican figures, and emphasis on suburban turnout have supported trader consensus around his 66.5% implied probability of carrying the county. Paxton’s 34% reflects his stronger rural base and Republican primary consolidation but highlights ongoing challenges consolidating suburban voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro. The race remains sensitive to late shifts in independent and suburban turnout ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTexas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
67%
Ken Paxton (R)
34%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$3,965 Wol.
67%
Ken Paxton (R)
$1,229 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a narrow statewide lead or statistical tie with Ken Paxton has reinforced expectations that Democratic gains in suburban areas will extend to Collin County. Talarico’s fundraising edge, cross-aisle endorsements from some Republican figures, and emphasis on suburban turnout have supported trader consensus around his 66.5% implied probability of carrying the county. Paxton’s 34% reflects his stronger rural base and Republican primary consolidation but highlights ongoing challenges consolidating suburban voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro. The race remains sensitive to late shifts in independent and suburban turnout ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,194Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a narrow statewide lead or statistical tie with Ken Paxton has reinforced expectations that Democratic gains in suburban areas will extend to Collin County. Talarico’s fundraising edge, cross-aisle endorsements from some Republican figures, and emphasis on suburban turnout have supported trader consensus around his 66.5% implied probability of carrying the county. Paxton’s 34% reflects his stronger rural base and Republican primary consolidation but highlights ongoing challenges consolidating suburban voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro. The race remains sensitive to late shifts in independent and suburban turnout ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Wolumen
$5,194Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a narrow statewide lead or statistical tie with Ken Paxton has reinforced expectations that Democratic gains in suburban areas will extend to Collin County. Talarico’s fundraising edge, cross-aisle endorsements from some Republican figures, and emphasis on suburban turnout have supported trader consensus around his 66.5% implied probability of carrying the county. Paxton’s 34% reflects his stronger rural base and Republican primary consolidation but highlights ongoing challenges consolidating suburban voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro. The race remains sensitive to late shifts in independent and suburban turnout ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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