Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th congressional district by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, drawing support from Governor Bill Lee and other state Republican leaders. The newly redrawn district stretches across Middle and West Tennessee counties with a clear Republican lean reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential results. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, won his primary and carries local name recognition plus national party backing, yet faces structural disadvantages in a district where Republicans have historically performed strongly. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, producing trader consensus around an 87–90 percent implied probability for Hatcher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-05 House Election Winner
$53,275 Wol.
$53,275 Wol.
Charlie Hatcher (R)
88%
Chaz Molder (D)
12%
$53,275 Wol.
$53,275 Wol.
Charlie Hatcher (R)
88%
Chaz Molder (D)
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th congressional district by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, drawing support from Governor Bill Lee and other state Republican leaders. The newly redrawn district stretches across Middle and West Tennessee counties with a clear Republican lean reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential results. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, won his primary and carries local name recognition plus national party backing, yet faces structural disadvantages in a district where Republicans have historically performed strongly. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, producing trader consensus around an 87–90 percent implied probability for Hatcher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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