Republican incumbent John Carter’s established position in Texas’s 31st congressional district underpins the market’s strong consensus. Carter secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against multiple challengers and now faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The district’s mix of suburban Williamson County voters and military communities has shown durable Republican support. While the frontrunner’s advantage appears durable, outcomes could shift due to health events, unforeseen scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a nationalized midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$45,379 Wol.
$45,379 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$45,379 Wol.
$45,379 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,918 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$20,461 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Carter’s established position in Texas’s 31st congressional district underpins the market’s strong consensus. Carter secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against multiple challengers and now faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The district’s mix of suburban Williamson County voters and military communities has shown durable Republican support. While the frontrunner’s advantage appears durable, outcomes could shift due to health events, unforeseen scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a nationalized midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$45,379Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Carter’s established position in Texas’s 31st congressional district underpins the market’s strong consensus. Carter secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against multiple challengers and now faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The district’s mix of suburban Williamson County voters and military communities has shown durable Republican support. While the frontrunner’s advantage appears durable, outcomes could shift due to health events, unforeseen scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a nationalized midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$45,379Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Carter’s established position in Texas’s 31st congressional district underpins the market’s strong consensus. Carter secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against multiple challengers and now faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The district’s mix of suburban Williamson County voters and military communities has shown durable Republican support. While the frontrunner’s advantage appears durable, outcomes could shift due to health events, unforeseen scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a nationalized midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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