**US officials have maintained strong opposition to any mandatory transit fees or tolls in the Strait of Hormuz, citing longstanding international maritime law on free passage through the international waterway.** President Trump briefly floated a 20 percent reimbursement fee for U.S. protection in mid-July 2026 but quickly reversed course in favor of Gulf state trade and investment deals. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum suspended Iranian charges for a 60-day window, after which U.S. statements and Treasury sanctions targeting Iranian entities tied to fee collection have reinforced expectations against Washington implementing its own system. Ongoing talks involving Oman focus on voluntary or service-based arrangements without U.S. endorsement of compulsory payments, keeping implied probabilities for U.S. fees by late August near zero while longer-term deadlines reflect greater uncertainty tied to diplomatic outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$972,325 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
December 31
5%
$972,325 Wol.
August 31
$181,009 Wol.
<1%
December 31
$104,163 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.**US officials have maintained strong opposition to any mandatory transit fees or tolls in the Strait of Hormuz, citing longstanding international maritime law on free passage through the international waterway.** President Trump briefly floated a 20 percent reimbursement fee for U.S. protection in mid-July 2026 but quickly reversed course in favor of Gulf state trade and investment deals. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum suspended Iranian charges for a 60-day window, after which U.S. statements and Treasury sanctions targeting Iranian entities tied to fee collection have reinforced expectations against Washington implementing its own system. Ongoing talks involving Oman focus on voluntary or service-based arrangements without U.S. endorsement of compulsory payments, keeping implied probabilities for U.S. fees by late August near zero while longer-term deadlines reflect greater uncertainty tied to diplomatic outcomes.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$972,325Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.**US officials have maintained strong opposition to any mandatory transit fees or tolls in the Strait of Hormuz, citing longstanding international maritime law on free passage through the international waterway.** President Trump briefly floated a 20 percent reimbursement fee for U.S. protection in mid-July 2026 but quickly reversed course in favor of Gulf state trade and investment deals. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum suspended Iranian charges for a 60-day window, after which U.S. statements and Treasury sanctions targeting Iranian entities tied to fee collection have reinforced expectations against Washington implementing its own system. Ongoing talks involving Oman focus on voluntary or service-based arrangements without U.S. endorsement of compulsory payments, keeping implied probabilities for U.S. fees by late August near zero while longer-term deadlines reflect greater uncertainty tied to diplomatic outcomes.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$972,325Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**US officials have maintained strong opposition to any mandatory transit fees or tolls in the Strait of Hormuz, citing longstanding international maritime law on free passage through the international waterway.** President Trump briefly floated a 20 percent reimbursement fee for U.S. protection in mid-July 2026 but quickly reversed course in favor of Gulf state trade and investment deals. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum suspended Iranian charges for a 60-day window, after which U.S. statements and Treasury sanctions targeting Iranian entities tied to fee collection have reinforced expectations against Washington implementing its own system. Ongoing talks involving Oman focus on voluntary or service-based arrangements without U.S. endorsement of compulsory payments, keeping implied probabilities for U.S. fees by late August near zero while longer-term deadlines reflect greater uncertainty tied to diplomatic outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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