Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s longstanding Democratic dominance and her position as incumbent. The district has elected only Democrats since 1990, and Balint secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points while winning her August 2026 primary with 98 percent. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Malloy, a repeat challenger who previously lost statewide races by wide margins, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not held the seat in nearly three decades. Trader consensus around Balint above 95 percent reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and limited path for the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or significant shifts in national conditions, though such events would need to overcome Vermont’s consistent electoral baseline to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$40,138 Wol.
$40,138 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Becca Balint (D)
96%
Gerald Malloy (R)
4%
$40,138 Wol.
$40,138 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Becca Balint (D)
$9,022 Wol.
96%
Gerald Malloy (R)
$31,116 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s longstanding Democratic dominance and her position as incumbent. The district has elected only Democrats since 1990, and Balint secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points while winning her August 2026 primary with 98 percent. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Malloy, a repeat challenger who previously lost statewide races by wide margins, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not held the seat in nearly three decades. Trader consensus around Balint above 95 percent reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and limited path for the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or significant shifts in national conditions, though such events would need to overcome Vermont’s consistent electoral baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,138Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s longstanding Democratic dominance and her position as incumbent. The district has elected only Democrats since 1990, and Balint secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points while winning her August 2026 primary with 98 percent. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Malloy, a repeat challenger who previously lost statewide races by wide margins, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not held the seat in nearly three decades. Trader consensus around Balint above 95 percent reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and limited path for the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or significant shifts in national conditions, though such events would need to overcome Vermont’s consistent electoral baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$40,138Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s longstanding Democratic dominance and her position as incumbent. The district has elected only Democrats since 1990, and Balint secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points while winning her August 2026 primary with 98 percent. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points among likely voters, consistent with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Malloy, a repeat challenger who previously lost statewide races by wide margins, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not held the seat in nearly three decades. Trader consensus around Balint above 95 percent reflects these entrenched partisan patterns and limited path for the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or significant shifts in national conditions, though such events would need to overcome Vermont’s consistent electoral baseline to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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