Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHarry Kane 64.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.0%
Kylian Mbappé 9.0%
Rodri 7%
$31,745,022 Vol.
$31,745,022 Vol.
30 out 2026
Harry Kane
64%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desejo Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 64.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.0%
Kylian Mbappé 9.0%
Rodri 7%
$31,745,022 Vol.
$31,745,022 Vol.
30 out 2026
Harry Kane
$3,872,412 Vol.
64%
Lamine Yamal
$2,028,422 Vol.
15%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,836,839 Vol.
9%
Rodri
$1,329,532 Vol.
7%
Lionel Messi
$2,224,717 Vol.
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$1,327,460 Vol.
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
$2,037,042 Vol.
1%
Fabian Ruiz
$1,018,675 Vol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$1,452,967 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,157,246 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$767,048 Vol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$1,305,656 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,058,718 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,068,433 Vol.
<1%
Pedri
$886,501 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$680,943 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$854,890 Vol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$737,170 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$695,112 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$709,222 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$489,013 Vol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$473,380 Vol.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$67,071 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$448,076 Vol.
<1%
Desejo Doue
$743,483 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$740,083 Vol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$440,729 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,279 Vol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$881,699 Vol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$96,121 Vol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$148,088 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$31,745,022Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$31,745,022Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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