Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in Georgia’s 2026 Senate contest due to his substantial fundraising edge, with over $80 million raised and tens of millions in reserves, compared to Republican nominee Rep. Mike Collins’ far smaller totals. Ossoff benefits from incumbency, strong support among women and Black voters, and demographic growth in the Atlanta metro area that has shifted the state toward competitiveness. Most forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, and recent polling shows Ossoff ahead by four to eight points. Traders’ 94% implied probability for Ossoff reflects this resource and structural advantage ahead of the November 3 election. A late surge by Collins could occur through superior Republican turnout, effective attacks on Ossoff’s record, or outcomes from the October 8 debate, though such shifts would require overcoming the current financial and polling gaps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado da Geórgia
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado da Geórgia
$151,289 Vol.
$151,289 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
94%
Mike Collins (R)
5%
$151,289 Vol.
$151,289 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
$61,007 Vol.
94%
Mike Collins (R)
$90,283 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in Georgia’s 2026 Senate contest due to his substantial fundraising edge, with over $80 million raised and tens of millions in reserves, compared to Republican nominee Rep. Mike Collins’ far smaller totals. Ossoff benefits from incumbency, strong support among women and Black voters, and demographic growth in the Atlanta metro area that has shifted the state toward competitiveness. Most forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, and recent polling shows Ossoff ahead by four to eight points. Traders’ 94% implied probability for Ossoff reflects this resource and structural advantage ahead of the November 3 election. A late surge by Collins could occur through superior Republican turnout, effective attacks on Ossoff’s record, or outcomes from the October 8 debate, though such shifts would require overcoming the current financial and polling gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$151,289Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in Georgia’s 2026 Senate contest due to his substantial fundraising edge, with over $80 million raised and tens of millions in reserves, compared to Republican nominee Rep. Mike Collins’ far smaller totals. Ossoff benefits from incumbency, strong support among women and Black voters, and demographic growth in the Atlanta metro area that has shifted the state toward competitiveness. Most forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, and recent polling shows Ossoff ahead by four to eight points. Traders’ 94% implied probability for Ossoff reflects this resource and structural advantage ahead of the November 3 election. A late surge by Collins could occur through superior Republican turnout, effective attacks on Ossoff’s record, or outcomes from the October 8 debate, though such shifts would require overcoming the current financial and polling gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$151,289Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in Georgia’s 2026 Senate contest due to his substantial fundraising edge, with over $80 million raised and tens of millions in reserves, compared to Republican nominee Rep. Mike Collins’ far smaller totals. Ossoff benefits from incumbency, strong support among women and Black voters, and demographic growth in the Atlanta metro area that has shifted the state toward competitiveness. Most forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, and recent polling shows Ossoff ahead by four to eight points. Traders’ 94% implied probability for Ossoff reflects this resource and structural advantage ahead of the November 3 election. A late surge by Collins could occur through superior Republican turnout, effective attacks on Ossoff’s record, or outcomes from the October 8 debate, though such shifts would require overcoming the current financial and polling gaps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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