Recent polling shows Republican support among Black voters holding in the low-to-mid teens for the 2026 midterms, following gains in the 2024 presidential race that have partially eased amid economic pressures and reactions to administration policies on issues such as voting rights and redistricting. Primary data from sources like Pew and generic ballot surveys place GOP identification or vote intention near 14-19 percent, with some regional turnout surges in Southern Black Belt counties favoring Democrats. This range of results, combined with uncertainty over final turnout patterns and issue salience in battleground areas, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between 8-13 percent shares rather than consolidating on any single outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado10–11% 26%
12–13% 22%
8–9% 21%
<8% 10%
NOVO
NOVO
6 nov 2026
<8%
10%
8–9%
21%
10–11%
26%
12–13%
22%
14–15%
9%
16–17%
6%
18%+
3%
10–11% 26%
12–13% 22%
8–9% 21%
<8% 10%
NOVO
NOVO
6 nov 2026
<8%
$20 Vol.
10%
8–9%
$538 Vol.
21%
10–11%
$441 Vol.
26%
12–13%
$351 Vol.
22%
14–15%
$192 Vol.
9%
16–17%
$20 Vol.
6%
18%+
$91 Vol.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling shows Republican support among Black voters holding in the low-to-mid teens for the 2026 midterms, following gains in the 2024 presidential race that have partially eased amid economic pressures and reactions to administration policies on issues such as voting rights and redistricting. Primary data from sources like Pew and generic ballot surveys place GOP identification or vote intention near 14-19 percent, with some regional turnout surges in Southern Black Belt counties favoring Democrats. This range of results, combined with uncertainty over final turnout patterns and issue salience in battleground areas, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between 8-13 percent shares rather than consolidating on any single outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$1,652Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling shows Republican support among Black voters holding in the low-to-mid teens for the 2026 midterms, following gains in the 2024 presidential race that have partially eased amid economic pressures and reactions to administration policies on issues such as voting rights and redistricting. Primary data from sources like Pew and generic ballot surveys place GOP identification or vote intention near 14-19 percent, with some regional turnout surges in Southern Black Belt counties favoring Democrats. This range of results, combined with uncertainty over final turnout patterns and issue salience in battleground areas, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between 8-13 percent shares rather than consolidating on any single outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$1,652Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Republican support among Black voters holding in the low-to-mid teens for the 2026 midterms, following gains in the 2024 presidential race that have partially eased amid economic pressures and reactions to administration policies on issues such as voting rights and redistricting. Primary data from sources like Pew and generic ballot surveys place GOP identification or vote intention near 14-19 percent, with some regional turnout surges in Southern Black Belt counties favoring Democrats. This range of results, combined with uncertainty over final turnout patterns and issue salience in battleground areas, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between 8-13 percent shares rather than consolidating on any single outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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