Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary, positioning the state representative as the clear frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The seat’s heavy concentration in Wayne County, including much of Detroit, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction, limiting any path to competitiveness. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney prevailing on November 3 because historical turnout patterns and party registration favor the Democratic nominee decisively. Only late developments such as major scandals or health issues would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-13
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-13
$49,562 Vol.
$49,562 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
98%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
<1%
$49,562 Vol.
$49,562 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
$29,323 Vol.
98%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
$20,239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary, positioning the state representative as the clear frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The seat’s heavy concentration in Wayne County, including much of Detroit, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction, limiting any path to competitiveness. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney prevailing on November 3 because historical turnout patterns and party registration favor the Democratic nominee decisively. Only late developments such as major scandals or health issues would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,562Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary, positioning the state representative as the clear frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The seat’s heavy concentration in Wayne County, including much of Detroit, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction, limiting any path to competitiveness. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney prevailing on November 3 because historical turnout patterns and party registration favor the Democratic nominee decisively. Only late developments such as major scandals or health issues would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,562Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary, positioning the state representative as the clear frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The seat’s heavy concentration in Wayne County, including much of Detroit, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction, limiting any path to competitiveness. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney prevailing on November 3 because historical turnout patterns and party registration favor the Democratic nominee decisively. Only late developments such as major scandals or health issues would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions