Robert Pattinson’s star power and strong critical reception following the Venice Film Festival premiere are lifting trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend above initial $10–15 million tracking. The A24 psychological thriller, which dramatizes the 2006 production of *To Catch a Predator*, earned a Metascore of 73 with generally favorable reviews that highlight Pattinson’s intense lead performance and the film’s bold visual style. September release timing and competition from titles such as Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* create some uncertainty, yet the market-implied probabilities—led by the 22m+ bracket at 44.5%—reflect optimism around presales, Pattinson’s draw, and potential word-of-mouth for an awards-contending specialty release. The wide debut arrives September 25.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria de fim de semana de abertura "Primetime"
19-22 milhões 39%
22m+ 39%
10-13 milhões 14%
16-19 milhões 9.4%
<10 milhões
1%
10-13 milhões
14%
13-16 milhões
4%
16-19 milhões
9%
19-22 milhões
39%
22m+
39%
19-22 milhões 39%
22m+ 39%
10-13 milhões 14%
16-19 milhões 9.4%
<10 milhões
1%
10-13 milhões
14%
13-16 milhões
4%
16-19 milhões
9%
19-22 milhões
39%
22m+
39%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Robert Pattinson’s star power and strong critical reception following the Venice Film Festival premiere are lifting trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend above initial $10–15 million tracking. The A24 psychological thriller, which dramatizes the 2006 production of *To Catch a Predator*, earned a Metascore of 73 with generally favorable reviews that highlight Pattinson’s intense lead performance and the film’s bold visual style. September release timing and competition from titles such as Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* create some uncertainty, yet the market-implied probabilities—led by the 22m+ bracket at 44.5%—reflect optimism around presales, Pattinson’s draw, and potential word-of-mouth for an awards-contending specialty release. The wide debut arrives September 25.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions