Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence by splitting the lineup, with only premium models debuting in fall 2026. At the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, the company unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo while skipping the standard iPhone 18 entirely. Supply-chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision, and consistent analyst notes since mid-2025 point to a spring 2027 launch for the base model alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This strategy aims to manage manufacturing scale, address component constraints like memory, and emphasize higher-margin devices during peak season. Traders should monitor any early 2027 event announcements or supply-chain updates that could refine the exact timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБазовый iPhone 18, выпущенный...?
Базовый iPhone 18, выпущенный...?
НОВОЕ
28 фев. 2027 г.
28 февраля 2027 года
24%
31 марта 2027 года
70%
30 апреля 2027 года
79%
$274 Объем
28 февраля 2027 года
$124 Объем
24%
31 марта 2027 года
$88 Объем
70%
30 апреля 2027 года
$62 Объем
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence by splitting the lineup, with only premium models debuting in fall 2026. At the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, the company unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo while skipping the standard iPhone 18 entirely. Supply-chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision, and consistent analyst notes since mid-2025 point to a spring 2027 launch for the base model alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This strategy aims to manage manufacturing scale, address component constraints like memory, and emphasize higher-margin devices during peak season. Traders should monitor any early 2027 event announcements or supply-chain updates that could refine the exact timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Объем
$274Дата окончания
1 мая 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence by splitting the lineup, with only premium models debuting in fall 2026. At the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, the company unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo while skipping the standard iPhone 18 entirely. Supply-chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision, and consistent analyst notes since mid-2025 point to a spring 2027 launch for the base model alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This strategy aims to manage manufacturing scale, address component constraints like memory, and emphasize higher-margin devices during peak season. Traders should monitor any early 2027 event announcements or supply-chain updates that could refine the exact timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$274Дата окончания
1 мая 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Apple has shifted its iPhone release cadence by splitting the lineup, with only premium models debuting in fall 2026. At the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, the company unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo while skipping the standard iPhone 18 entirely. Supply-chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision, and consistent analyst notes since mid-2025 point to a spring 2027 launch for the base model alongside the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2. This strategy aims to manage manufacturing scale, address component constraints like memory, and emphasize higher-margin devices during peak season. Traders should monitor any early 2027 event announcements or supply-chain updates that could refine the exact timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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