Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen between 15 and 18 percent, aligning with trader emphasis on the 14-17 and 17-20 percent buckets. The party trails gains by Die Linke and AfD while the CDU-SPD government faces its own pressures, leaving the Greens in a competitive but narrowed band after their 18.4 percent result in 2023. Late-August and early-September surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA show consistent mid-teens support with limited upward momentum in the final campaign phase. Traders appear to view further slippage below 14 percent or a late surge above 20 percent as less probable given the stable polling pattern and the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено14–17% 45%
17-20% 32%
<14% 22%
20%+ 3.6%
$30,031 Объем
$30,031 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<14%
22%
14–17%
45%
17-20%
32%
20%+
4%
14–17% 45%
17-20% 32%
<14% 22%
20%+ 3.6%
$30,031 Объем
$30,031 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<14%
$15,811 Объем
22%
14–17%
$10,769 Объем
45%
17-20%
$2,424 Объем
32%
20%+
$1,028 Объем
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen between 15 and 18 percent, aligning with trader emphasis on the 14-17 and 17-20 percent buckets. The party trails gains by Die Linke and AfD while the CDU-SPD government faces its own pressures, leaving the Greens in a competitive but narrowed band after their 18.4 percent result in 2023. Late-August and early-September surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA show consistent mid-teens support with limited upward momentum in the final campaign phase. Traders appear to view further slippage below 14 percent or a late surge above 20 percent as less probable given the stable polling pattern and the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Объем
$30,031Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen between 15 and 18 percent, aligning with trader emphasis on the 14-17 and 17-20 percent buckets. The party trails gains by Die Linke and AfD while the CDU-SPD government faces its own pressures, leaving the Greens in a competitive but narrowed band after their 18.4 percent result in 2023. Late-August and early-September surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA show consistent mid-teens support with limited upward momentum in the final campaign phase. Traders appear to view further slippage below 14 percent or a late surge above 20 percent as less probable given the stable polling pattern and the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Объем
$30,031Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen between 15 and 18 percent, aligning with trader emphasis on the 14-17 and 17-20 percent buckets. The party trails gains by Die Linke and AfD while the CDU-SPD government faces its own pressures, leaving the Greens in a competitive but narrowed band after their 18.4 percent result in 2023. Late-August and early-September surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA show consistent mid-teens support with limited upward momentum in the final campaign phase. Traders appear to view further slippage below 14 percent or a late surge above 20 percent as less probable given the stable polling pattern and the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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