Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican advantage, her status as the appointed incumbent with strong party backing, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $8 million in cash on hand. The August 18 primaries reinforced this positioning, as Moody secured the GOP nomination easily while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset victory over better-funded rival Alexander Vindman shifted the race further toward Republicans in forecaster assessments. Nixon's progressive platform and limited statewide resources present significant hurdles in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The November 3 contest could still shift with major unforeseen developments such as scandals or turnout surprises, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for the challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
$110,542 Объем
$110,542 Объем
Эшли Муди (Р)
93%
Энджи Никсон (Д)
8%
$110,542 Объем
$110,542 Объем
Эшли Муди (Р)
$55,096 Объем
93%
Энджи Никсон (Д)
$55,446 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican advantage, her status as the appointed incumbent with strong party backing, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $8 million in cash on hand. The August 18 primaries reinforced this positioning, as Moody secured the GOP nomination easily while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset victory over better-funded rival Alexander Vindman shifted the race further toward Republicans in forecaster assessments. Nixon's progressive platform and limited statewide resources present significant hurdles in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The November 3 contest could still shift with major unforeseen developments such as scandals or turnout surprises, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Объем
$110,542Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican advantage, her status as the appointed incumbent with strong party backing, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $8 million in cash on hand. The August 18 primaries reinforced this positioning, as Moody secured the GOP nomination easily while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset victory over better-funded rival Alexander Vindman shifted the race further toward Republicans in forecaster assessments. Nixon's progressive platform and limited statewide resources present significant hurdles in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The November 3 contest could still shift with major unforeseen developments such as scandals or turnout surprises, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$110,542Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican advantage, her status as the appointed incumbent with strong party backing, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $8 million in cash on hand. The August 18 primaries reinforced this positioning, as Moody secured the GOP nomination easily while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset victory over better-funded rival Alexander Vindman shifted the race further toward Republicans in forecaster assessments. Nixon's progressive platform and limited statewide resources present significant hurdles in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The November 3 contest could still shift with major unforeseen developments such as scandals or turnout surprises, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for the challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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