The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the united left process, combined with subsequent candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, has left the October 11 primary with minimal participating organizations. La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique declined involvement from the outset, while remaining backers among Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L’Après have not advanced formal organization. Traders view these structural barriers and the absence of recent revival efforts as making official cancellation the near-certain outcome, though formal announcements by organizers or additional party exits could still trigger resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFrance United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner
Отменено 92.0%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$227,965 Объем
$227,965 Объем
10 окт. 2026 г.
Отменено
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Отменено 92.0%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$227,965 Объем
$227,965 Объем
10 окт. 2026 г.
Отменено
$91,955 Объем
92%
François Ruffin
$31,157 Объем
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Объем
1%
Marine Tondelier
$50,040 Объем
<1%
Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди
$4,216 Объем
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Объем
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the united left process, combined with subsequent candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, has left the October 11 primary with minimal participating organizations. La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique declined involvement from the outset, while remaining backers among Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L’Après have not advanced formal organization. Traders view these structural barriers and the absence of recent revival efforts as making official cancellation the near-certain outcome, though formal announcements by organizers or additional party exits could still trigger resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Объем
$227,965Дата окончания
11 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the united left process, combined with subsequent candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, has left the October 11 primary with minimal participating organizations. La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique declined involvement from the outset, while remaining backers among Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L’Après have not advanced formal organization. Traders view these structural barriers and the absence of recent revival efforts as making official cancellation the near-certain outcome, though formal announcements by organizers or additional party exits could still trigger resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$227,965Дата окончания
11 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the united left process, combined with subsequent candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, has left the October 11 primary with minimal participating organizations. La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique declined involvement from the outset, while remaining backers among Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L’Après have not advanced formal organization. Traders view these structural barriers and the absence of recent revival efforts as making official cancellation the near-certain outcome, though formal announcements by organizers or additional party exits could still trigger resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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