India’s CPI inflation accelerated to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, propelled by food prices rising to 5.95% amid elevated onion, garlic, and ginger costs plus energy pressures from West Asia tensions and a weak monsoon. The RBI projects 5.0% average CPI for fiscal 2026-27, with professional forecasters aligning at the same level and quarterly paths pointing to 4.8-5.7% through year-end. These confirmed data points and central-bank guidance underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds for 4.50%+, reflecting trader capital at risk rather than speculation. A sustained drop in crude prices, stronger rainfall improving kharif output, or faster monetary easing could still pull the annual print below that threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,50%+ 91%
От 3,75% до 4,49% 4.4%
<0,75% 1.5%
От 3,00% до 3,74% 1.4%
$85,789 Объем
$85,789 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<0,75%
1%
0,75% до 1,49%
<1%
1,50% до 2,24%
1%
2,25% – 2,99%
<1%
От 3,00% до 3,74%
1%
От 3,75% до 4,49%
4%
4,50%+
91%
4,50%+ 91%
От 3,75% до 4,49% 4.4%
<0,75% 1.5%
От 3,00% до 3,74% 1.4%
$85,789 Объем
$85,789 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<0,75%
$2,328 Объем
1%
0,75% до 1,49%
$1,545 Объем
<1%
1,50% до 2,24%
$1,605 Объем
1%
2,25% – 2,99%
$25,481 Объем
<1%
От 3,00% до 3,74%
$2,410 Объем
1%
От 3,75% до 4,49%
$31,997 Объем
4%
4,50%+
$20,423 Объем
91%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia’s CPI inflation accelerated to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, propelled by food prices rising to 5.95% amid elevated onion, garlic, and ginger costs plus energy pressures from West Asia tensions and a weak monsoon. The RBI projects 5.0% average CPI for fiscal 2026-27, with professional forecasters aligning at the same level and quarterly paths pointing to 4.8-5.7% through year-end. These confirmed data points and central-bank guidance underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds for 4.50%+, reflecting trader capital at risk rather than speculation. A sustained drop in crude prices, stronger rainfall improving kharif output, or faster monetary easing could still pull the annual print below that threshold before resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$85,789Дата окончания
13 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia’s CPI inflation accelerated to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, propelled by food prices rising to 5.95% amid elevated onion, garlic, and ginger costs plus energy pressures from West Asia tensions and a weak monsoon. The RBI projects 5.0% average CPI for fiscal 2026-27, with professional forecasters aligning at the same level and quarterly paths pointing to 4.8-5.7% through year-end. These confirmed data points and central-bank guidance underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds for 4.50%+, reflecting trader capital at risk rather than speculation. A sustained drop in crude prices, stronger rainfall improving kharif output, or faster monetary easing could still pull the annual print below that threshold before resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Объем
$85,789Дата окончания
13 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...India’s CPI inflation accelerated to 4.82% in August 2026 from 4.45% in July, propelled by food prices rising to 5.95% amid elevated onion, garlic, and ginger costs plus energy pressures from West Asia tensions and a weak monsoon. The RBI projects 5.0% average CPI for fiscal 2026-27, with professional forecasters aligning at the same level and quarterly paths pointing to 4.8-5.7% through year-end. These confirmed data points and central-bank guidance underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds for 4.50%+, reflecting trader capital at risk rather than speculation. A sustained drop in crude prices, stronger rainfall improving kharif output, or faster monetary easing could still pull the annual print below that threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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