**No holds a slim 54.8% edge in trader consensus because four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB history—only 21 instances across more than 150 years, with the most recent occurring in 2025.** Through mid-September 2026, no player has achieved the feat despite elevated power numbers from sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber (45 HRs), Yordan Alvarez (around 40), and others posting frequent multi-homer outings. Modern factors including deeper bullpens, specialized pitching matchups, and roster depth have limited three- and four-HR explosions even amid favorable conditions like Coors Field or warm weather. The narrow margin reflects the remaining regular-season schedule and the potential for a single power surge or favorable matchup to produce the outcome, balanced against the long odds of extending the historical drought.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено45% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
45% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No holds a slim 54.8% edge in trader consensus because four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB history—only 21 instances across more than 150 years, with the most recent occurring in 2025.** Through mid-September 2026, no player has achieved the feat despite elevated power numbers from sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber (45 HRs), Yordan Alvarez (around 40), and others posting frequent multi-homer outings. Modern factors including deeper bullpens, specialized pitching matchups, and roster depth have limited three- and four-HR explosions even amid favorable conditions like Coors Field or warm weather.
The narrow margin reflects the remaining regular-season schedule and the potential for a single power surge or favorable matchup to produce the outcome, balanced against the long odds of extending the historical drought.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Объем
$7,263Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No holds a slim 54.8% edge in trader consensus because four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB history—only 21 instances across more than 150 years, with the most recent occurring in 2025.** Through mid-September 2026, no player has achieved the feat despite elevated power numbers from sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber (45 HRs), Yordan Alvarez (around 40), and others posting frequent multi-homer outings. Modern factors including deeper bullpens, specialized pitching matchups, and roster depth have limited three- and four-HR explosions even amid favorable conditions like Coors Field or warm weather.
The narrow margin reflects the remaining regular-season schedule and the potential for a single power surge or favorable matchup to produce the outcome, balanced against the long odds of extending the historical drought.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$7,263Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**No holds a slim 54.8% edge in trader consensus because four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB history—only 21 instances across more than 150 years, with the most recent occurring in 2025.** Through mid-September 2026, no player has achieved the feat despite elevated power numbers from sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber (45 HRs), Yordan Alvarez (around 40), and others posting frequent multi-homer outings. Modern factors including deeper bullpens, specialized pitching matchups, and roster depth have limited three- and four-HR explosions even amid favorable conditions like Coors Field or warm weather. The narrow margin reflects the remaining regular-season schedule and the potential for a single power surge or favorable matchup to produce the outcome, balanced against the long odds of extending the historical drought.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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