Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
99%
Эндрю Блейми
1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
$1,950 Объем
99%
Эндрю Блейми
$851 Объем
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Объем
$2,801Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,801Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year, benefits from strong community ties and Labor’s historical strength in the electorate before its long independent hold. The resignation of independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula in mid-August created a short campaign window with limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey, leaving few realistic challengers. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if late preference flows or unusually low turnout among key voting blocs alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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