The ICC arrest warrants issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu remain active, alleging war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, though Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and the US is not a Rome Statute member. Trader positioning reflects strong consensus against near-term enforcement, driven by President Trump's explicit July 2026 pledge that Netanyahu will face no arrest on US soil and New York City Mayor Mamdani's reversal acknowledging the city lacks authority to act on the warrant. Netanyahu's scheduled brief UN General Assembly trip—arriving September 23 and departing after his September 24 address—occurs under federal security control with no cooperating jurisdiction in reach. Domestic Israeli corruption proceedings continue without custody implications for the sitting prime minister. No ICC member state has signaled plans to detain him, and US sanctions on the court further limit cooperation prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$27,370 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
30 сентября
<1%
31 декабря
7%
$27,370 Объем
30 сентября
$20,617 Объем
<1%
31 декабря
$6,753 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrants issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu remain active, alleging war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, though Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and the US is not a Rome Statute member. Trader positioning reflects strong consensus against near-term enforcement, driven by President Trump's explicit July 2026 pledge that Netanyahu will face no arrest on US soil and New York City Mayor Mamdani's reversal acknowledging the city lacks authority to act on the warrant. Netanyahu's scheduled brief UN General Assembly trip—arriving September 23 and departing after his September 24 address—occurs under federal security control with no cooperating jurisdiction in reach. Domestic Israeli corruption proceedings continue without custody implications for the sitting prime minister. No ICC member state has signaled plans to detain him, and US sanctions on the court further limit cooperation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Объем
$27,370Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrants issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu remain active, alleging war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, though Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and the US is not a Rome Statute member. Trader positioning reflects strong consensus against near-term enforcement, driven by President Trump's explicit July 2026 pledge that Netanyahu will face no arrest on US soil and New York City Mayor Mamdani's reversal acknowledging the city lacks authority to act on the warrant. Netanyahu's scheduled brief UN General Assembly trip—arriving September 23 and departing after his September 24 address—occurs under federal security control with no cooperating jurisdiction in reach. Domestic Israeli corruption proceedings continue without custody implications for the sitting prime minister. No ICC member state has signaled plans to detain him, and US sanctions on the court further limit cooperation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,370Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The ICC arrest warrants issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu remain active, alleging war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, though Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and the US is not a Rome Statute member. Trader positioning reflects strong consensus against near-term enforcement, driven by President Trump's explicit July 2026 pledge that Netanyahu will face no arrest on US soil and New York City Mayor Mamdani's reversal acknowledging the city lacks authority to act on the warrant. Netanyahu's scheduled brief UN General Assembly trip—arriving September 23 and departing after his September 24 address—occurs under federal security control with no cooperating jurisdiction in reach. Domestic Israeli corruption proceedings continue without custody implications for the sitting prime minister. No ICC member state has signaled plans to detain him, and US sanctions on the court further limit cooperation prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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