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icon for Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

icon for Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

Нет IPO до 2028 года 62%

<20 млрд 8.0%

50–75 млрд 6.9%

75–100 млрд 5.6%

Polymarket

$147,997 Объем

Нет IPO до 2028 года 62%

<20 млрд 8.0%

50–75 млрд 6.9%

75–100 млрд 5.6%

Polymarket

$147,997 Объем

<20 млрд

$4,913 Объем

8%

20–30 млрд

$7,935 Объем

5%

30–40 млрд

$4,993 Объем

4%

40–50 млрд

$4,626 Объем

3%

50–75 млрд

$6,924 Объем

7%

75–100 млрд

$4,078 Объем

6%

100 млрд+

$5,440 Объем

4%

Нет IPO до 2028 года

$109,088 Объем

62%

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed a 2028 IPO target, independent of OpenAI and Anthropic filings, which directly supports the 62% market-implied probability of no IPO before then. The AI search startup’s latest private valuations sit near $16–20 billion after 2025 rounds, with recent secondary trading and reported Nvidia discussions pointing to potential upside above $30 billion amid rapid revenue growth to roughly $750 million annualized. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the absence of an S-1 filing, ongoing cash burn, and competitive search dynamics when pricing the various closing market-cap buckets for a future listing.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$147,997
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed a 2028 IPO target, independent of OpenAI and Anthropic filings, which directly supports the 62% market-implied probability of no IPO before then. The AI search startup’s latest private valuations sit near $16–20 billion after 2025 rounds, with recent secondary trading and reported Nvidia discussions pointing to potential upside above $30 billion amid rapid revenue growth to roughly $750 million annualized. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the absence of an S-1 filing, ongoing cash burn, and competitive search dynamics when pricing the various closing market-cap buckets for a future listing.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$147,997
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет IPO до 2028 года» с 62%, за ним следует «<20 млрд» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $148K с момента запуска рынка Jan 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» — «Нет IPO до 2028 года» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<20 млрд» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.