Major tech firms including Oracle, Amazon, Meta, Dell, and Intel have executed tens of thousands of cuts in 2026, with year-to-date totals already exceeding full-year 2025 figures across trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. AI adoption drives the majority of announcements, as companies cite automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure. This restructuring pattern has sustained momentum through the third quarter, outpacing prior-year reductions even as overall economic conditions remain mixed. Trader consensus at 91% for higher layoffs reflects these verified headcount declines and persistent AI-related cost pressures, though a sharp rebound in hiring for specialized AI roles or broader economic acceleration could moderate the pace before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТехнологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 2026?
Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 2026?
Увеличатся
88% вероятность
$25,972 Объем
$25,972 Объем
27 фев. 2027 г.
Увеличатся
88% вероятность
$25,972 Объем
$25,972 Объем
27 фев. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Major tech firms including Oracle, Amazon, Meta, Dell, and Intel have executed tens of thousands of cuts in 2026, with year-to-date totals already exceeding full-year 2025 figures across trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. AI adoption drives the majority of announcements, as companies cite automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure. This restructuring pattern has sustained momentum through the third quarter, outpacing prior-year reductions even as overall economic conditions remain mixed. Trader consensus at 91% for higher layoffs reflects these verified headcount declines and persistent AI-related cost pressures, though a sharp rebound in hiring for specialized AI roles or broader economic acceleration could moderate the pace before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Объем
$25,972Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Major tech firms including Oracle, Amazon, Meta, Dell, and Intel have executed tens of thousands of cuts in 2026, with year-to-date totals already exceeding full-year 2025 figures across trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. AI adoption drives the majority of announcements, as companies cite automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure. This restructuring pattern has sustained momentum through the third quarter, outpacing prior-year reductions even as overall economic conditions remain mixed. Trader consensus at 91% for higher layoffs reflects these verified headcount declines and persistent AI-related cost pressures, though a sharp rebound in hiring for specialized AI roles or broader economic acceleration could moderate the pace before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$25,972Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Major tech firms including Oracle, Amazon, Meta, Dell, and Intel have executed tens of thousands of cuts in 2026, with year-to-date totals already exceeding full-year 2025 figures across trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. AI adoption drives the majority of announcements, as companies cite automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure. This restructuring pattern has sustained momentum through the third quarter, outpacing prior-year reductions even as overall economic conditions remain mixed. Trader consensus at 91% for higher layoffs reflects these verified headcount declines and persistent AI-related cost pressures, though a sharp rebound in hiring for specialized AI roles or broader economic acceleration could moderate the pace before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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