Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) hold the tightest positioning in the race for first place among Alagoas's two Senate seats, with recent Paraná Pesquisas data showing them at 40.4% and 36.8% respectively in combined first- and second-vote intentions, followed by Marina JHC (PSDB) at 28.4%. A longstanding political rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros families, combined with high undecided rates exceeding 70% in spontaneous polling and limited formal campaigning as of late August 2026, keeps the contest statistically close within margins of error. Traders' near-even pricing on the leaders reflects this parity and the potential for late shifts from alliances, endorsements, or voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArthur Lira 42%
Renan 39%
Marina JHC 17.8%
Alexandre Fleming 3.1%
$15,491 ปริมาณ
$15,491 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
42%
Renan
39%
Marina JHC
18%
Alexandre Fleming
3%
Dr. Wanderley
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
<1%
Arthur Lira 42%
Renan 39%
Marina JHC 17.8%
Alexandre Fleming 3.1%
$15,491 ปริมาณ
$15,491 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
$7,231 ปริมาณ
42%
Renan
$6,008 ปริมาณ
39%
Marina JHC
$565 ปริมาณ
18%
Alexandre Fleming
$453 ปริมาณ
3%
Dr. Wanderley
$513 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mariedson
$408 ปริมาณ
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
$313 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) hold the tightest positioning in the race for first place among Alagoas's two Senate seats, with recent Paraná Pesquisas data showing them at 40.4% and 36.8% respectively in combined first- and second-vote intentions, followed by Marina JHC (PSDB) at 28.4%. A longstanding political rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros families, combined with high undecided rates exceeding 70% in spontaneous polling and limited formal campaigning as of late August 2026, keeps the contest statistically close within margins of error. Traders' near-even pricing on the leaders reflects this parity and the potential for late shifts from alliances, endorsements, or voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,491วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) hold the tightest positioning in the race for first place among Alagoas's two Senate seats, with recent Paraná Pesquisas data showing them at 40.4% and 36.8% respectively in combined first- and second-vote intentions, followed by Marina JHC (PSDB) at 28.4%. A longstanding political rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros families, combined with high undecided rates exceeding 70% in spontaneous polling and limited formal campaigning as of late August 2026, keeps the contest statistically close within margins of error. Traders' near-even pricing on the leaders reflects this parity and the potential for late shifts from alliances, endorsements, or voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,491วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) hold the tightest positioning in the race for first place among Alagoas's two Senate seats, with recent Paraná Pesquisas data showing them at 40.4% and 36.8% respectively in combined first- and second-vote intentions, followed by Marina JHC (PSDB) at 28.4%. A longstanding political rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros families, combined with high undecided rates exceeding 70% in spontaneous polling and limited formal campaigning as of late August 2026, keeps the contest statistically close within margins of error. Traders' near-even pricing on the leaders reflects this parity and the potential for late shifts from alliances, endorsements, or voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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