Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor who stepped down earlier this year to run, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá's October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, reflected in the 90.5% market price. Multiple September polls show him at 59-64% of valid votes, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil), with remaining candidates below 3%. Furlan's position stems from sustained high polling since mid-year, strong personal recognition from his 2024 reelection victory, and ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities. Clécio's reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preferences captured in surveys. With the vote three weeks away, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDr. Furlan 92%
Clécio Luís 4.1%
Marcos Reategui 4.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
92%
Clécio Luís
4%
Marcos Reategui
4%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
<1%
Dr. Furlan 92%
Clécio Luís 4.1%
Marcos Reategui 4.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
$7,140 ปริมาณ
92%
Clécio Luís
$318 ปริมาณ
4%
Marcos Reategui
$214 ปริมาณ
4%
Jairo Palheta
$374 ปริมาณ
2%
Carlos Cley
$133 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor who stepped down earlier this year to run, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá's October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, reflected in the 90.5% market price. Multiple September polls show him at 59-64% of valid votes, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil), with remaining candidates below 3%. Furlan's position stems from sustained high polling since mid-year, strong personal recognition from his 2024 reelection victory, and ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities. Clécio's reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preferences captured in surveys. With the vote three weeks away, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before ballots close.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,179วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor who stepped down earlier this year to run, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá's October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, reflected in the 90.5% market price. Multiple September polls show him at 59-64% of valid votes, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil), with remaining candidates below 3%. Furlan's position stems from sustained high polling since mid-year, strong personal recognition from his 2024 reelection victory, and ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities. Clécio's reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preferences captured in surveys. With the vote three weeks away, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before ballots close.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,179วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor who stepped down earlier this year to run, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá's October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, reflected in the 90.5% market price. Multiple September polls show him at 59-64% of valid votes, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil), with remaining candidates below 3%. Furlan's position stems from sustained high polling since mid-year, strong personal recognition from his 2024 reelection victory, and ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities. Clécio's reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preferences captured in surveys. With the vote three weeks away, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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