Recent polling from late August and early September shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intention-to-vote surveys with 26–34 percent, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain locked in a technical tie for second place. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates exceeding 60 percent in several surveys leave substantial room for late shifts before the October 4 first round. The current governor Cidade, installed via indirect legislative vote in May after the prior executive stepped down, benefits from incumbency visibility but faces competition from established state-level figures. Traders price Aziz as the consensus favorite for eventual victory while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff scenario whose outcome remains sensitive to which challenger advances and how undecided voters consolidate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOmar Aziz 65%
Professora Maria do Carmo 25%
Roberto Cidade 15.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%
$25,498 ปริมาณ
$25,498 ปริมาณ
Omar Aziz
56%
Professora Maria do Carmo
30%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 65%
Professora Maria do Carmo 25%
Roberto Cidade 15.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%
$25,498 ปริมาณ
$25,498 ปริมาณ
Omar Aziz
56%
Professora Maria do Carmo
30%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intention-to-vote surveys with 26–34 percent, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain locked in a technical tie for second place. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates exceeding 60 percent in several surveys leave substantial room for late shifts before the October 4 first round. The current governor Cidade, installed via indirect legislative vote in May after the prior executive stepped down, benefits from incumbency visibility but faces competition from established state-level figures. Traders price Aziz as the consensus favorite for eventual victory while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff scenario whose outcome remains sensitive to which challenger advances and how undecided voters consolidate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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