Recent FBI searches of Eric Swalwell’s devices and home in mid-August as part of a federal civil rights probe tied to sexual misconduct allegations have kept the possibility of an arrest open, supporting trader balance near even odds. Multiple accusers prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress and separate state-level inquiries in Manhattan and Los Angeles, yet no charges have been filed in any jurisdiction through late September. The narrow resolution window ending September 30 limits the scope for new developments, while Swalwell’s legal team continues to engage with investigators. An indictment or arrest in the coming days could shift probabilities sharply toward yes, whereas continued absence of formal action would reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว0% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
0% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FBI searches of Eric Swalwell’s devices and home in mid-August as part of a federal civil rights probe tied to sexual misconduct allegations have kept the possibility of an arrest open, supporting trader balance near even odds. Multiple accusers prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress and separate state-level inquiries in Manhattan and Los Angeles, yet no charges have been filed in any jurisdiction through late September. The narrow resolution window ending September 30 limits the scope for new developments, while Swalwell’s legal team continues to engage with investigators. An indictment or arrest in the coming days could shift probabilities sharply toward yes, whereas continued absence of formal action would reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FBI searches of Eric Swalwell’s devices and home in mid-August as part of a federal civil rights probe tied to sexual misconduct allegations have kept the possibility of an arrest open, supporting trader balance near even odds. Multiple accusers prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress and separate state-level inquiries in Manhattan and Los Angeles, yet no charges have been filed in any jurisdiction through late September. The narrow resolution window ending September 30 limits the scope for new developments, while Swalwell’s legal team continues to engage with investigators. An indictment or arrest in the coming days could shift probabilities sharply toward yes, whereas continued absence of formal action would reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent FBI searches of Eric Swalwell’s devices and home in mid-August as part of a federal civil rights probe tied to sexual misconduct allegations have kept the possibility of an arrest open, supporting trader balance near even odds. Multiple accusers prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress and separate state-level inquiries in Manhattan and Los Angeles, yet no charges have been filed in any jurisdiction through late September. The narrow resolution window ending September 30 limits the scope for new developments, while Swalwell’s legal team continues to engage with investigators. An indictment or arrest in the coming days could shift probabilities sharply toward yes, whereas continued absence of formal action would reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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