Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for September 2026 favor above-normal temperatures across the western and southern U.S. with equal chances in northern plains and Midwest regions, consistent with a developing El Niño pattern that typically shifts storm tracks and moderates early cold outbreaks. Measurable snowfall (≥0.1 inch liquid equivalent per NWS standards) remains unlikely in major northern cities through mid-October, aligning with historical medians placing first accumulations in the Midwest and Northeast between late October and December. Higher-elevation Rockies and Alaska have already seen isolated early events, but traders monitoring CPC monthly updates, GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs, and lake-effect setup potential in the Great Lakes should watch for any rapid cooling signals in late September forecasts that could accelerate timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFirst snow of the 2026 season

Buffalo, NY by October 31
56%

Denver, CO by October 31
64%

Minneapolis, MN by October 31
59%

Salt Lake City, UT by October 31
54%

Boston, MA by November 15
55%

Buffalo, NY by November 15
93%

Chicago, IL by November 15
63%

Denver, CO by November 15
94%

Detroit, MI by November 15
91%

Indianapolis, IN by November 15
85%

Kansas City, MO by November 15
32%

Minneapolis, MN by November 15
89%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 15
62%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 15
71%

Boston, MA by November 30
92%

Buffalo, NY by November 30
94%

Chicago, IL by November 30
72%

Cincinnati, OH by November 30
83%

Dallas, TX by November 30
11%

Denver, CO by November 30
99%

Detroit, MI by November 30
90%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30
94%

Kansas City, MO by November 30
69%

Minneapolis, MN by November 30
93%

Nashville, TN by November 30
29%

New York City, NY by November 30
68%

Philadelphia, PA by November 30
15%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 30
77%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 30
88%

St. Louis, MO by November 30
75%

Washington, DC by November 30
44%
$7,568 ปริมาณ

Buffalo, NY by October 31
56%

Denver, CO by October 31
64%

Minneapolis, MN by October 31
59%

Salt Lake City, UT by October 31
54%

Boston, MA by November 15
55%

Buffalo, NY by November 15
93%

Chicago, IL by November 15
63%

Denver, CO by November 15
94%

Detroit, MI by November 15
91%

Indianapolis, IN by November 15
85%

Kansas City, MO by November 15
32%

Minneapolis, MN by November 15
89%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 15
62%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 15
71%

Boston, MA by November 30
92%

Buffalo, NY by November 30
94%

Chicago, IL by November 30
72%

Cincinnati, OH by November 30
83%

Dallas, TX by November 30
11%

Denver, CO by November 30
99%

Detroit, MI by November 30
90%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30
94%

Kansas City, MO by November 30
69%

Minneapolis, MN by November 30
93%

Nashville, TN by November 30
29%

New York City, NY by November 30
68%

Philadelphia, PA by November 30
15%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 30
77%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 30
88%

St. Louis, MO by November 30
75%

Washington, DC by November 30
44%
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for September 2026 favor above-normal temperatures across the western and southern U.S. with equal chances in northern plains and Midwest regions, consistent with a developing El Niño pattern that typically shifts storm tracks and moderates early cold outbreaks. Measurable snowfall (≥0.1 inch liquid equivalent per NWS standards) remains unlikely in major northern cities through mid-October, aligning with historical medians placing first accumulations in the Midwest and Northeast between late October and December. Higher-elevation Rockies and Alaska have already seen isolated early events, but traders monitoring CPC monthly updates, GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs, and lake-effect setup potential in the Great Lakes should watch for any rapid cooling signals in late September forecasts that could accelerate timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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