Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and signals of additional tightening, have anchored trader focus on persistent inflation and resilient growth as key upward pressures on the 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.29%. Elevated fiscal deficits driving heavy Treasury supply, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premia and reduced appetite for long-duration bonds. Market-implied odds now embed further policy firming into 2027, with the FOMC dot plot projecting rates remaining elevated. Upcoming catalysts include October industrial production data, subsequent FOMC meetings, and inflation releases that could shift expectations for the yield's trough before year-end 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
Below 5.20%
61%
Below 5.15%
47%
Below 5.10%
46%
Below 5.05%
39%
Below 5.00%
30%
Below 4.95%
27%
Below 4.90%
24%
Below 4.80%
6%
Below 4.60%
5%
$9,260 ปริมาณ
Below 5.20%
$1,427 ปริมาณ
61%
Below 5.15%
$132 ปริมาณ
47%
Below 5.10%
$1,029 ปริมาณ
46%
Below 5.05%
$148 ปริมาณ
39%
Below 5.00%
$1,612 ปริมาณ
30%
Below 4.95%
$555 ปริมาณ
27%
Below 4.90%
$885 ปริมาณ
24%
Below 4.80%
$427 ปริมาณ
6%
Below 4.60%
$3,044 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and signals of additional tightening, have anchored trader focus on persistent inflation and resilient growth as key upward pressures on the 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.29%. Elevated fiscal deficits driving heavy Treasury supply, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premia and reduced appetite for long-duration bonds. Market-implied odds now embed further policy firming into 2027, with the FOMC dot plot projecting rates remaining elevated. Upcoming catalysts include October industrial production data, subsequent FOMC meetings, and inflation releases that could shift expectations for the yield's trough before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,260วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and signals of additional tightening, have anchored trader focus on persistent inflation and resilient growth as key upward pressures on the 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.29%. Elevated fiscal deficits driving heavy Treasury supply, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premia and reduced appetite for long-duration bonds. Market-implied odds now embed further policy firming into 2027, with the FOMC dot plot projecting rates remaining elevated. Upcoming catalysts include October industrial production data, subsequent FOMC meetings, and inflation releases that could shift expectations for the yield's trough before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,260วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and signals of additional tightening, have anchored trader focus on persistent inflation and resilient growth as key upward pressures on the 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.29%. Elevated fiscal deficits driving heavy Treasury supply, alongside strong corporate issuance for AI infrastructure, have lifted term premia and reduced appetite for long-duration bonds. Market-implied odds now embed further policy firming into 2027, with the FOMC dot plot projecting rates remaining elevated. Upcoming catalysts include October industrial production data, subsequent FOMC meetings, and inflation releases that could shift expectations for the yield's trough before year-end 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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