Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts convened under wartime conditions and selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, with an interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei handling duties in the interim. This sequence represents a verified leadership transition via established clerical institutions, though external military pressure and internal security concerns shaped the accelerated timeline. Traders assess resolution based on the specific cutoff date in the market contract and any subsequent shifts in formal authority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$24,444,570 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 30
3%
October 31
7%
November 30
11%
31 ธันวาคม
17%
June 30, 2027
26%
$24,444,570 ปริมาณ
August 31
$1,599,283 ปริมาณ
<1%
September 30
$524,768 ปริมาณ
3%
October 31
$41,211 ปริมาณ
7%
November 30
$27,757 ปริมาณ
11%
31 ธันวาคม
$4,308,992 ปริมาณ
17%
June 30, 2027
$254,837 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts convened under wartime conditions and selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, with an interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei handling duties in the interim. This sequence represents a verified leadership transition via established clerical institutions, though external military pressure and internal security concerns shaped the accelerated timeline. Traders assess resolution based on the specific cutoff date in the market contract and any subsequent shifts in formal authority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,444,570วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts convened under wartime conditions and selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, with an interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei handling duties in the interim. This sequence represents a verified leadership transition via established clerical institutions, though external military pressure and internal security concerns shaped the accelerated timeline. Traders assess resolution based on the specific cutoff date in the market contract and any subsequent shifts in formal authority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,444,570วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts convened under wartime conditions and selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, with an interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei handling duties in the interim. This sequence represents a verified leadership transition via established clerical institutions, though external military pressure and internal security concerns shaped the accelerated timeline. Traders assess resolution based on the specific cutoff date in the market contract and any subsequent shifts in formal authority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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