Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe for the GOP by multiple forecasters, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and role as House Energy and Commerce Committee chair. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field. The seat's partisan lean, historical margins exceeding 30 points, and Guthrie's substantial fundraising advantage have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but no major recent shifts—such as scandals, polling surges, or national wave indicators—have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments like health events or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary theoretical paths to narrower results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$14,018 ปริมาณ
$14,018 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
5%
$14,018 ปริมาณ
$14,018 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
$6,347 ปริมาณ
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
$7,671 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe for the GOP by multiple forecasters, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and role as House Energy and Commerce Committee chair. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field. The seat's partisan lean, historical margins exceeding 30 points, and Guthrie's substantial fundraising advantage have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but no major recent shifts—such as scandals, polling surges, or national wave indicators—have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments like health events or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary theoretical paths to narrower results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,018วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe for the GOP by multiple forecasters, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and role as House Energy and Commerce Committee chair. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field. The seat's partisan lean, historical margins exceeding 30 points, and Guthrie's substantial fundraising advantage have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but no major recent shifts—such as scandals, polling surges, or national wave indicators—have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments like health events or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary theoretical paths to narrower results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,018วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe for the GOP by multiple forecasters, combined with his long incumbency since 2009 and role as House Energy and Commerce Committee chair. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field. The seat's partisan lean, historical margins exceeding 30 points, and Guthrie's substantial fundraising advantage have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, but no major recent shifts—such as scandals, polling surges, or national wave indicators—have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments like health events or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary theoretical paths to narrower results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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