Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% ahead of the October 5 election, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec rising toward 16-17%. Regional splits—PLQ strength in Montreal, PCQ gains in the Quebec City area, and CAQ erosion elsewhere—combined with new leadership for both the CAQ and PLQ and elevated undecided voters have kept the ordering of second through fourth place highly fluid. Seat projections reflect this fragmentation, with multiple three-way contests likely to determine final rankings. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the PLQ finishing third, though shifts in francophone support or late campaign momentum for the CAQ or PCQ could readily alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPLQ 39%
CAQ 35%
PCQ 11.3%
PQ 6.1%
$13,521 ปริมาณ
$13,521 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
50%
CAQ
35%
PCQ
11%
PQ
6%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 39%
CAQ 35%
PCQ 11.3%
PQ 6.1%
$13,521 ปริมาณ
$13,521 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$3,915 ปริมาณ
50%
CAQ
$4,191 ปริมาณ
35%
PCQ
$2,272 ปริมาณ
11%
PQ
$1,363 ปริมาณ
6%
QS
$1,148 ปริมาณ
2%
PVQ
$632 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% ahead of the October 5 election, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec rising toward 16-17%. Regional splits—PLQ strength in Montreal, PCQ gains in the Quebec City area, and CAQ erosion elsewhere—combined with new leadership for both the CAQ and PLQ and elevated undecided voters have kept the ordering of second through fourth place highly fluid. Seat projections reflect this fragmentation, with multiple three-way contests likely to determine final rankings. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the PLQ finishing third, though shifts in francophone support or late campaign momentum for the CAQ or PCQ could readily alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,521วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% ahead of the October 5 election, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec rising toward 16-17%. Regional splits—PLQ strength in Montreal, PCQ gains in the Quebec City area, and CAQ erosion elsewhere—combined with new leadership for both the CAQ and PLQ and elevated undecided voters have kept the ordering of second through fourth place highly fluid. Seat projections reflect this fragmentation, with multiple three-way contests likely to determine final rankings. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the PLQ finishing third, though shifts in francophone support or late campaign momentum for the CAQ or PCQ could readily alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,521วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% ahead of the October 5 election, with the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered around 22-24% and the Parti conservateur du Québec rising toward 16-17%. Regional splits—PLQ strength in Montreal, PCQ gains in the Quebec City area, and CAQ erosion elsewhere—combined with new leadership for both the CAQ and PLQ and elevated undecided voters have kept the ordering of second through fourth place highly fluid. Seat projections reflect this fragmentation, with multiple three-way contests likely to determine final rankings. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the PLQ finishing third, though shifts in francophone support or late campaign momentum for the CAQ or PCQ could readily alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย