Ukrainian law bars referendums during martial law, and President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any vote on a peace agreement—particularly one involving territorial concessions in Donbas—would require a sustained ceasefire and security guarantees first. Discussions of a referendum alongside elections surfaced in late 2025 under external diplomatic pressure, but no schedule materialized by proposed spring 2026 deadlines amid stalled U.S.-mediated talks. Recent months have seen brief humanitarian ceasefires, renewed calls for negotiations based on prior Istanbul frameworks, and heightened debate over wartime elections instead, with Zelenskyy warning they risk splitting the country. Public surveys from early-to-mid 2026 showed roughly half of Ukrainians open to a referendum on a deal, though support drops without firm security assurances and amid ongoing fighting. Legal experts note constitutional hurdles for territorial questions, requiring either parliamentary action or voter-initiated signatures exceeding three million.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$527,008 ปริมาณ
September 30
2%
December 31
6%
$527,008 ปริมาณ
September 30
2%
December 31
6%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian law bars referendums during martial law, and President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any vote on a peace agreement—particularly one involving territorial concessions in Donbas—would require a sustained ceasefire and security guarantees first. Discussions of a referendum alongside elections surfaced in late 2025 under external diplomatic pressure, but no schedule materialized by proposed spring 2026 deadlines amid stalled U.S.-mediated talks. Recent months have seen brief humanitarian ceasefires, renewed calls for negotiations based on prior Istanbul frameworks, and heightened debate over wartime elections instead, with Zelenskyy warning they risk splitting the country. Public surveys from early-to-mid 2026 showed roughly half of Ukrainians open to a referendum on a deal, though support drops without firm security assurances and amid ongoing fighting. Legal experts note constitutional hurdles for territorial questions, requiring either parliamentary action or voter-initiated signatures exceeding three million.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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