Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his long tenure since 2009, strong fundraising edge exceeding $17 million, and the state's Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Recent polling from June shows him ahead by 17–26 points, consistent with forecaster assessments and limited Republican primary competition won by retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa in August. Debate scheduling disputes in mid-September have drawn attention but have not shifted the underlying dynamics ahead of early voting. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate events, though current evidence indicates limited immediate impact on the race trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVirginia Senate Election Winner
Virginia Senate Election Winner
$23,148 ปริมาณ
$23,148 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
5%
$23,148 ปริมาณ
$23,148 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
$15,894 ปริมาณ
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
$7,254 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his long tenure since 2009, strong fundraising edge exceeding $17 million, and the state's Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Recent polling from June shows him ahead by 17–26 points, consistent with forecaster assessments and limited Republican primary competition won by retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa in August. Debate scheduling disputes in mid-September have drawn attention but have not shifted the underlying dynamics ahead of early voting. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate events, though current evidence indicates limited immediate impact on the race trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,148วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his long tenure since 2009, strong fundraising edge exceeding $17 million, and the state's Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Recent polling from June shows him ahead by 17–26 points, consistent with forecaster assessments and limited Republican primary competition won by retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa in August. Debate scheduling disputes in mid-September have drawn attention but have not shifted the underlying dynamics ahead of early voting. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate events, though current evidence indicates limited immediate impact on the race trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,148วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his long tenure since 2009, strong fundraising edge exceeding $17 million, and the state's Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Recent polling from June shows him ahead by 17–26 points, consistent with forecaster assessments and limited Republican primary competition won by retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa in August. Debate scheduling disputes in mid-September have drawn attention but have not shifted the underlying dynamics ahead of early voting. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate events, though current evidence indicates limited immediate impact on the race trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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