Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by her consistent reelection margins above 55 percent in prior cycles and the district's suburban Seattle demographics that favor Democrats. Her primary performance, capturing over 54 percent of the vote on August 4 against a fragmented field, and substantial fundraising advantage over Republican Mary Silva, who previously ran in 2024 with minimal resources, reinforce trader consensus. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen national partisan wave, a late scandal, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent, though structural and historical factors make such reversals improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-01 House Election Winner
$45,841 ปริมาณ
$45,841 ปริมาณ
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
$45,841 ปริมาณ
$45,841 ปริมาณ
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by her consistent reelection margins above 55 percent in prior cycles and the district's suburban Seattle demographics that favor Democrats. Her primary performance, capturing over 54 percent of the vote on August 4 against a fragmented field, and substantial fundraising advantage over Republican Mary Silva, who previously ran in 2024 with minimal resources, reinforce trader consensus. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen national partisan wave, a late scandal, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent, though structural and historical factors make such reversals improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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