Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic
96% โอกาส
$338,517 ปริมาณ
$338,517 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
96% โอกาส
$338,517 ปริมาณ
$338,517 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$338,517วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$338,517วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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