Heightened Democratic enthusiasm driven by opposition to the Trump administration, combined with Republican base mobilization efforts, sustains trader expectations for elevated 2026 House turnout near 115-130 million votes. Recent special election overperformance by Democrats, a generic ballot advantage around D+6, and expanded mail and early voting access have boosted participation signals, while GOP strategies target 2024 Trump voters through refined outreach in competitive districts. Historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes provide a floor, but second-term dynamics, economic concerns, and youth registration trends support the market's clustering in higher ranges. Close probabilities among leading bins reflect uncertainty over whether opposition energy or targeted Republican turnout operations will determine the final total, with late-cycle polling and primary results likely to influence shifts before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update125-130m 23%
115-120m 19%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 14%
$28,236 Vol.
$28,236 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
19%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 19%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 14%
$28,236 Vol.
$28,236 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$603 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$609 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,195 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
7%
110-115m
$4,475 Vol.
14%
115-120m
$4,662 Vol.
19%
120-125m
$8,991 Vol.
19%
125-130m
$3,301 Vol.
23%
130m+
$1,366 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Heightened Democratic enthusiasm driven by opposition to the Trump administration, combined with Republican base mobilization efforts, sustains trader expectations for elevated 2026 House turnout near 115-130 million votes. Recent special election overperformance by Democrats, a generic ballot advantage around D+6, and expanded mail and early voting access have boosted participation signals, while GOP strategies target 2024 Trump voters through refined outreach in competitive districts. Historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes provide a floor, but second-term dynamics, economic concerns, and youth registration trends support the market's clustering in higher ranges. Close probabilities among leading bins reflect uncertainty over whether opposition energy or targeted Republican turnout operations will determine the final total, with late-cycle polling and primary results likely to influence shifts before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$28,236Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Heightened Democratic enthusiasm driven by opposition to the Trump administration, combined with Republican base mobilization efforts, sustains trader expectations for elevated 2026 House turnout near 115-130 million votes. Recent special election overperformance by Democrats, a generic ballot advantage around D+6, and expanded mail and early voting access have boosted participation signals, while GOP strategies target 2024 Trump voters through refined outreach in competitive districts. Historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes provide a floor, but second-term dynamics, economic concerns, and youth registration trends support the market's clustering in higher ranges. Close probabilities among leading bins reflect uncertainty over whether opposition energy or targeted Republican turnout operations will determine the final total, with late-cycle polling and primary results likely to influence shifts before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$28,236Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heightened Democratic enthusiasm driven by opposition to the Trump administration, combined with Republican base mobilization efforts, sustains trader expectations for elevated 2026 House turnout near 115-130 million votes. Recent special election overperformance by Democrats, a generic ballot advantage around D+6, and expanded mail and early voting access have boosted participation signals, while GOP strategies target 2024 Trump voters through refined outreach in competitive districts. Historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes provide a floor, but second-term dynamics, economic concerns, and youth registration trends support the market's clustering in higher ranges. Close probabilities among leading bins reflect uncertainty over whether opposition energy or targeted Republican turnout operations will determine the final total, with late-cycle polling and primary results likely to influence shifts before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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