Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat with a consistent partisan lean exceeding D+10. She secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary after defeating the same Republican opponent by roughly 40 points in the September 2025 special election to succeed her father. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election, while Daniel Butierez remains underfunded and unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical results and current campaign metrics indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$32,780 Vol.
$32,780 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
96%
Daniel Butierez (R)
5%
$32,780 Vol.
$32,780 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
$5,800 Vol.
96%
Daniel Butierez (R)
$26,980 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat with a consistent partisan lean exceeding D+10. She secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary after defeating the same Republican opponent by roughly 40 points in the September 2025 special election to succeed her father. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election, while Daniel Butierez remains underfunded and unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical results and current campaign metrics indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$32,780Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat with a consistent partisan lean exceeding D+10. She secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary after defeating the same Republican opponent by roughly 40 points in the September 2025 special election to succeed her father. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election, while Daniel Butierez remains underfunded and unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical results and current campaign metrics indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,780Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat with a consistent partisan lean exceeding D+10. She secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary after defeating the same Republican opponent by roughly 40 points in the September 2025 special election to succeed her father. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements reinforce her position ahead of the November 3 general election, while Daniel Butierez remains underfunded and unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical results and current campaign metrics indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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