Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a clear lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round and runoff simulations after party conventions. Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec show Ciro at 43–52% against Elmano’s 33–35%, driven by his alliances with center-right and right-leaning parties including the PL, União Brasil, and PP, which have consolidated opposition support in a state long dominated by PT-linked administrations. Elmano benefits from Lula administration backing and Camilo Santana’s endorsement but faces higher rejection rates and a polarized contest that favors Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor. Minor candidates remain under 3% with negligible impact on the two-candidate dynamic heading into the October 4 first round.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 69%
Elmano de Freitas 32%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$201,525 Vol.
$201,525 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
69%
Elmano de Freitas
32%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 69%
Elmano de Freitas 32%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$201,525 Vol.
$201,525 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$93,363 Vol.
69%
Elmano de Freitas
$38,659 Vol.
32%
Roberto Cláudio
$16,697 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a clear lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round and runoff simulations after party conventions. Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec show Ciro at 43–52% against Elmano’s 33–35%, driven by his alliances with center-right and right-leaning parties including the PL, União Brasil, and PP, which have consolidated opposition support in a state long dominated by PT-linked administrations. Elmano benefits from Lula administration backing and Camilo Santana’s endorsement but faces higher rejection rates and a polarized contest that favors Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor. Minor candidates remain under 3% with negligible impact on the two-candidate dynamic heading into the October 4 first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$201,525Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a clear lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round and runoff simulations after party conventions. Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec show Ciro at 43–52% against Elmano’s 33–35%, driven by his alliances with center-right and right-leaning parties including the PL, União Brasil, and PP, which have consolidated opposition support in a state long dominated by PT-linked administrations. Elmano benefits from Lula administration backing and Camilo Santana’s endorsement but faces higher rejection rates and a polarized contest that favors Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor. Minor candidates remain under 3% with negligible impact on the two-candidate dynamic heading into the October 4 first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$201,525Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a clear lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 10–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round and runoff simulations after party conventions. Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec show Ciro at 43–52% against Elmano’s 33–35%, driven by his alliances with center-right and right-leaning parties including the PL, União Brasil, and PP, which have consolidated opposition support in a state long dominated by PT-linked administrations. Elmano benefits from Lula administration backing and Camilo Santana’s endorsement but faces higher rejection rates and a polarized contest that favors Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor. Minor candidates remain under 3% with negligible impact on the two-candidate dynamic heading into the October 4 first round.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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