Aaron Bean holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Florida's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent, and a canceled GOP primary that preserved resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid Republican, aligning with Bean's 57.3% victory there in 2024. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major late developments have altered this positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
$27,450 Vol.
$27,450 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
10%
$27,450 Vol.
$27,450 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
$16,752 Vol.
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
$10,698 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Bean holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Florida's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent, and a canceled GOP primary that preserved resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid Republican, aligning with Bean's 57.3% victory there in 2024. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major late developments have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$27,450Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Bean holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Florida's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent, and a canceled GOP primary that preserved resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid Republican, aligning with Bean's 57.3% victory there in 2024. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major late developments have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,450Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Bean holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Florida's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent, and a canceled GOP primary that preserved resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid Republican, aligning with Bean's 57.3% victory there in 2024. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major late developments have altered this positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong