**Byron Donalds leads the 2026 Florida governor race with an implied probability of 79.5% on Polymarket, reflecting Republican structural advantages in a state where the party has held the governorship since 1999 and the open seat left by term-limited Ron DeSantis.** Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support from President Trump and DeSantis, giving him unified party backing and crossover appeal. He maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s under $6 million, enabling sustained advertising on key issues like property insurance costs and affordability. Recent September polls show a tightening contest, with some surveys placing the candidates within the margin of error or Jolly narrowly ahead, yet traders appear anchored by Florida’s partisan fundamentals, Donalds’ resource advantage, and historical voting patterns over late-campaign volatility with roughly six weeks until Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$82,985 Vol.
$82,985 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
80%
David Jolly (D)
21%
$82,985 Vol.
$82,985 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$46,111 Vol.
80%
David Jolly (D)
$36,874 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Byron Donalds leads the 2026 Florida governor race with an implied probability of 79.5% on Polymarket, reflecting Republican structural advantages in a state where the party has held the governorship since 1999 and the open seat left by term-limited Ron DeSantis.** Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support from President Trump and DeSantis, giving him unified party backing and crossover appeal. He maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s under $6 million, enabling sustained advertising on key issues like property insurance costs and affordability. Recent September polls show a tightening contest, with some surveys placing the candidates within the margin of error or Jolly narrowly ahead, yet traders appear anchored by Florida’s partisan fundamentals, Donalds’ resource advantage, and historical voting patterns over late-campaign volatility with roughly six weeks until Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$82,985Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Byron Donalds leads the 2026 Florida governor race with an implied probability of 79.5% on Polymarket, reflecting Republican structural advantages in a state where the party has held the governorship since 1999 and the open seat left by term-limited Ron DeSantis.** Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support from President Trump and DeSantis, giving him unified party backing and crossover appeal. He maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s under $6 million, enabling sustained advertising on key issues like property insurance costs and affordability. Recent September polls show a tightening contest, with some surveys placing the candidates within the margin of error or Jolly narrowly ahead, yet traders appear anchored by Florida’s partisan fundamentals, Donalds’ resource advantage, and historical voting patterns over late-campaign volatility with roughly six weeks until Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$82,985Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Byron Donalds leads the 2026 Florida governor race with an implied probability of 79.5% on Polymarket, reflecting Republican structural advantages in a state where the party has held the governorship since 1999 and the open seat left by term-limited Ron DeSantis.** Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support from President Trump and DeSantis, giving him unified party backing and crossover appeal. He maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to David Jolly’s under $6 million, enabling sustained advertising on key issues like property insurance costs and affordability. Recent September polls show a tightening contest, with some surveys placing the candidates within the margin of error or Jolly narrowly ahead, yet traders appear anchored by Florida’s partisan fundamentals, Donalds’ resource advantage, and historical voting patterns over late-campaign volatility with roughly six weeks until Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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